The True Killer Application for Broadband Local Access
By David M. Piscitello
Core Competence, Inc.
If we could have harnessed the energy exerted over the past decade towards
identifying the killer application for broadband local access, we might well
have been able to reduce our dependency on fossil fuels and avoided the current
gas crisis. The search continues, as broadband proponents try to identify
that elusive single application that will push broadband access lines, especially
residential lines, towards that golden arch nirvana, "tens of millions of
lines served".
Streaming media. Interactive web. Edutainment. Video on demand. It's all of
these, yet no single one of these. Enterprises and savvy small and home businesses
already know the answer. Shared network access.
A Definite Market
It's too obvious an answer, too simple a market to exploit, and too easy to
dismiss. Skeptical? Okay, let's look at the residential market and other media.
After Alexander invented the phone, folks of relative wealth had at best one
phone in a household. Residences shared "party lines." Switching comes along,
telephony evolves, and over time, the phone becomes a household appliance
for average income families.
Today, phones are fixtures in the majority of homes in the U.S., regardless
of income level. Over time, one phone per residence isn't enough. Families
acquire multiple phones and add line extensions-shared access. Fax, Internet,
and personal wealth enter the picture. Technically advanced households today
have primary and secondary voice lines, fax and internet modem lines, and
hybrids therein-shared phone networks.
Not convinced? When cable first arrived, the majority of households connected
one TV. More than half the households only had one TV. How many homes today
have multiple TVs and multiple cable taps from the same coaxial drop at the
curb? And how many have now added high-speed Internet to their home cable
"network", or hope to do so in the near future?
Still not convinced? Sure, we're talking about access lines for Internet-just
a few PCs per consumer household, telephony alternatives over DSL and Cable
are immature, LAN technology is complicated and intrusive for typical households.
So the potential consumer market doesn't justify an investment in residential
LAN as a service, right? Maybe not.
Technically Advanced Families
Recent Yankee Group survey reports that the technically advanced family (TAF)
is one of the fastest growing consumer segments in the US. According to the
1999 Holistic Consumer TAF Report, a technically advanced family is one with
greater income ($69,000 per annum compared to $45,000 overall). Ninety-nine
percent own at least one PC, and better than half of these families own two
or more PCs. Nearly three-quarters subscribe to an on-line service. Of the
110 million US consumer households, an estimated seventeen percent or nearly
20 million families are technically advanced.
Another thirty-three percent are "near" technically advanced (exhibiting most
of the aforementioned characteristics). Combined, these families account for
over eight percent of the PC purchases last year. They are also early adopters,
and own more laser printers, laptops, digital cameras, and scanners than average
families. They gobble up calling features. Most importantly for service providers,
they are three times more likely to want broadband access than the average
household.
Technically advanced families are educated, relatively unafraid of technology,
and typically enthusiastic consumers of services and new technology. They
are driving the DVD market, and spending hours on the Internet. They appreciate
streaming audio and video, download MP3s, at least know about Napster, and
are more than willing to buy the broadband promise of video-on-demand, High-Definition
TV and HDTV-based computing. They are typically multi-phoneline households.
And this last factoid is exactly why shared access is a green field of opportunity
for CLECs. Technically advanced households today have two, three, even four
phone lines for fax, voice, and Internet. The multi-PC homes utilize multiple
phone lines for slow, laborious Internet access by each individual PC. The
economics for broadband access prove in pretty fast for such households, especially
if you can deliver voice over broadband.
You are leaving money on the table-worse, you are leaving a revenue stream
in the pockets of incumbents-if you don't avail yourself of the opportunity
here.
In fact, you can amplify your ROI for one of the most costly aspects of deploying
DSL-the truck roll-by offering to connect multi-PC family households over
a residential LAN to a broadband Internet connection. Let's visit today's
DSL installation, fast-forwarded through the arduous and frustrating process
of getting a pair and splitter from an incumbent.
Today, you offer high-speed DSL access, an Internet connection, and perhaps
leased equipment for a monthly fee, and a one-time installation. You send
a craftsman to install a DSL modem and verify Internet access for the customer.
Today, the craftsman often brings a laptop, then connects to and configures
the DSL modem. Satisfied the connection is working, this may be the end of
the install. In some cases, the craftsman may assist the customer in connecting
a PC in the same room to the DSL modem using Ethernet. Maybe the craftsman
shows the customer how to logically add additional PCs (using DHCP for the
Ethernet LAN, for example), but he or she doesn't get further involved in
creating a residential LAN.
Making it Work
Now for the alternative scenario. Your expanded service portfolio still includes
high-speed DSL connection and leased equipment, plus, for an additional installation
fee, residential LAN installation. Use your marketing collateral and web to
convince the technically advanced family of the economies of substituting
a single broadband connection for all but a primary phone line (especially
true if you're offering voice over IP service). Your marketing emphasizes
that this one-time service makes it as convenient for the family to add PCs
or move them about the home as they would an extension phone. No additional
phone line installs, monthly fees for low-bandwidth modems, or lame "Internet
Call Waiting" workarounds to busy signals.
To create the residential LAN, your craftsman installs Home Phone line network
interface cards on household PCs and connects these using the existing phone
wiring in the home to the DSL modem or media-conversion hub. He's visiting
the home to install the DSL modem anyway. Adding LAN installation is convenient
for both you and the customer. (I choose home phone line networking over traditional
Ethernet, wireless LAN, and home power line networking as an example. I'll
examine the pros, cons and costs of deployment of each in a future column).
Providing technically advanced families with a residential LAN household may
provide additional recurring revenues as well. Multiple PCs are immediately
connected through your DSL and Internet service-this alone may drive the household
to a premium rate service faster. If you offer IP and managed services, you
may be able to sell or manage a firewall. Once you've entered the household
as a provider of high-speed data, you have the opportunity to offer voice.
If you've deployed a scalable LAN solution (e.g., 10/100 Mbps Ethernet or
Home Phone line network), the household is "pre-wired" for future VDSL-based
services.
There's no magic in this formula. Look at how incumbents have expanded their
original voice mail offering to accommodate smart households-multiple mailboxes,
individual greetings. Incumbents understand the single most important aspect
of the residential market. It's not just one line, to just one person. It's
shared access for the entire household.
David Piscitello is president of Core
Competence, Inc., a network consulting firm and founder of The
Internet Security Conference.